I wrote something about it some years ago when I tracked the records of a couple of “pro” tipsters if you care to read it: This „ha, yes!“ moment you’re describing is called the illusion of skill. In fact since I started placing BTTS bets in particular my returns have gone down. What is your process before placing a bet?Īlso, winning bets with low odds has less variance but the returns are terrible. The favourites often win, except when they don't.

Whatever you find in your research remember that footballers are like racehorses. The starting CBs are both out injured and the team is shit away? They haven't won in years at the home teams ground? some or all of the below:īeyond that, there's fuck all you can do. You can research until the cows come home but I've found that actually leads to worse outcomes it seems.īasic amount of research should be mandatory, e.g. I've been betting for this entire season and I'm more and more convinced there's minimal to no skill in it.* Gambling problems? Get help Related Subreddits

Spreadsheet for tracking tips by /u/LucasTheBeard.

Spreadsheet for tracking tips by /u/Simaoms.

Football Data - Historic Football Results.

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